The New World Order plan is almost complete, crush the economy and humanity is Crush, The “Second Wave” Of COVID-19 will Crush Oil Markets…
Need New Restrictions says Anthony S. Fauci, the nation’s top infectious-disease expert and director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said the country is still in the grip of the pandemic’s first wave, including a “disturbing surge” of new cases in Southern and Western states, including Florida, Texas, and Arizona
Are we on the verge of a second wave of coronavirus infections? Is there a spike in infections in states that reopened first?
The only way to answer that question is to watch as the data roll in. Arguably the best data to look at to see if a second wave is beginning are the hospitalization numbers. The media frequently reports the biggest and most dramatic numbers, often devoid of context. The number of cases has been reported regularly since the early days of the pandemic, and yet we know that the number of cases can be misleading
As more people are tested and re-tested for the virus, more results will come back positive, with the current number of confirmed cases exceeding 2 million in the U.S. But if we know anything, it is that increases in the number of confirmed cases do not accurately convey how quickly and widely the virus is spreading. Antibody tests and even the examination of sewage in some cities suggest that the number of infections is likely much higher than the number of confirmed cases.
But on the other side, some of the confirmed cases are double-counted in some states partly because both antibody and active virus tests are being counted separately but then combined in the total number of cases. While the antibody tests have been criticized for their false positive rate, another criticism has been that the antibody studies can underreport infection rates because they are not sensitive enough to detect a past mild infection.
Overall, because the bulk of testing is focused on people who are the sickest and who face the greatest exposure, it seems reasonable to conclude that the true number of U.S. infections is substantially higher than the reported figure. But an attempt to estimate the true number of infections would be a little better than a guess.
And this presents a problem with the daily updates. To say that a particular state or city is seeing a “spike” in cases is to say that recently they have had an uptick in positive test results. That could be due to more testing and more ways of testing, or it could be a hint of growth in the infection rate.
Better Data are Available
Rather than focus on test results, i.e. “cases,” it would make more sense to focus on how the virus affects society and our institutions, particularly the strain the virus puts on health care facilities and health care providers. An obvious measure, tracked since the beginning of the pandemic, is the number of deaths. As I and others at AIER have noted, the number of deaths is hard to interpret without important context.
The coronavirus is obviously deadly, but how deadly it seems to depend greatly on how it enters a population and the characteristics of that population. The virus has been far deadlier in New York than it has been in California, and has been most deadly in U.S. long-term care facilities. Among children, the coronavirus is considerably less deadly than seasonal influenza.
Nonetheless, deaths tell us something important about the virus’s impact on society. They profoundly affect entire social networks and are rightly emphasized in pandemic reporting.
When it comes to seeing how things are going now, whether the pandemic is growing worse or fading, deaths are a lagging indicator. They do not begin to spike until infections have already been accelerating rapidly for many days, and they do not decline until well after the virus’s spread has slowed.
The chart below shows that overall, deaths are clearly declining, although there is a weekly cycle where Sundays seem to result in relatively low death counts and Tuesdays and Wednesdays usually have the highest reported numbers. Overall, the past two weeks have had lower death totals than have been seen in the two months prior. But if a second wave were coming soon, we would not see the deaths from it yet.
Anthony S. Fauci, the nation’s top infectious-disease expert and director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said the country is still in the grip of the pandemic’s first wave, including a “disturbing surge” of new cases in Southern and Western states, including Florida, Texas, and Arizona.
“That’s something I’m really quite concerned about,” Fauci said. “A couple of days ago, there were 30,000 new infections. That’s very disturbing to me.”
The hearing came on the same day that Arizona reported record-high new coronavirus cases, and both Texas and Arizona reported record hospitalizations. Trump held a campaign rally in Phoenix on Tuesday, days after his trip to Tulsa, another site of surging infections. Last week, Texas, Florida, Arizona, and at least seven other states reported their highest weekly infection-rate averages.
On Tuesday, the United States recorded 33,730 new cases, the highest total since April 25. At least 119,000 deaths had been reported in the nation as of Tuesday afternoon, along with more than 2.3 million infections. Worldwide, there have been more than 9 million confirmed cases of the virus.
All four health officials testifying before the House Energy and Commerce Committee denied they had ever been directed to reduce testing after Trump told rally goers in Tulsa that he had charged officials to “slow the testing down.” White House officials have insisted Trump was speaking in jest.
Yet on Tuesday, Trump undercut that defense, telling reporters, “I don’t kid,” and elaborated further on Twitter.
“Cases are going up in the U.S. because we are testing far more than any other country, and ever-expanding,” he tweeted ahead of the hearing. “With smaller testing, we would show fewer cases!”
Fauci; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Robert Redfield; Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Stephen Hahn; and Brett Giroir, assistant secretary for health at the Department of Health and Human Services, all replied “no” when asked whether they had ever received a directive to conduct fewer tests.
“I know for sure none of us have ever been told to slow down on testing,” Fauci said. “That just is a fact. In fact, we will be doing more testing.”
Giroir told the committee that he expects the country to be able to conduct 40 million to 50 million tests a month by the fall and that officials are working to increase the nation’s testing capacity, as well as the quality of the tests.
Trump, Vice President Pence, and other White House officials have dismissed the recent increase in confirmed infections, insisting the increase is largely due to boosts in testing. However, there is a broad consensus among public health experts that the outbreaks are occurring as states reopen and people congregate in confined spaces without observing social distancing measures, or consistently wearing masks.
Fauci and Giroir said the outbreaks in much of the country were being driven by increased community transmission. Fauci also said the country was still in the middle of the first wave because it had not decreased infections or deaths to a low enough level.
The health officials also warned of a difficult fall and winter because the U.S. health-care system will probably battle two highly contagious, respiratory viruses then: the novel coronavirus and the seasonal flu. They also said it was inevitable the country would see more cases as states continued to reopen and emphasized the importance of getting the outbreak under control to allow local health officials to isolate confirmed cases and conduct contact tracing to prevent cases from spiraling out of control.
Fauci implored the public — but especially younger people — to wear masks when out in public. More young people have been contributing to the increase in cases in recent weeks, he said.
He said he had never seen a virus that produced such a wide range of symptoms and severity of the disease, ranging from people who have no symptoms at all, to those requiring ventilators, to others who spend weeks in the hospital and end up dying. Even though most people recover from the coronavirus, Fauci said healthy people who are infected but show no symptoms or have mild symptoms still end up contributing to the outbreak by potentially infecting the most vulnerable.
Many of the health officials’ statements during Tuesday’s hearing contradicted or undercut the sunny messages from Trump, Pence, and other White House officials. Pence last week penned a Wall Street Journal op-ed with the headline “There isn’t a Coronavirus ‘Second Wave,’ ” which touted the administration’s progress. Trump has said outbreaks in specific areas are “embers” of the virus that can quickly be stamped out.
Fauci was upbeat on one front: He told lawmakers he was “cautiously optimistic” that a vaccine would be available by the end of the year, or in early 2021, based on early clinical data. Hahn vowed to let science and data dictate whether the FDA would grant a limited or full approval of a vaccine and said he had never come under political pressure to make a decision, as critics have alleged.
In response to questioning from Rep. Jerry McNerney (D-Calif.), Fauci and Redfield said they were not directly consulted about the decision to withdraw the United States from the World Health Organization.
Last month, Trump said the United States would be “terminating our relationship” with the WHO, arguing the organization is effectively controlled by Beijing. He said that the annual U.S. contribution of more than $400 million to the organization would be diverted to other health groups.
Asked by McNerney whether he has any concerns about the president’s plans, Fauci replied, “Yes, I do.”
He added: “Despite any policy issues that come from higher up in the White House, we at the operational level continue to interact with the WHO in a very meaningful way … literally on a day-by-day basis.”
The hearing at one point turned confrontational. Rep. David B. McKinley (R-W.Va.) asked Fauci whether he regretted that he had not more forcefully urged people to wear masks in late March when the administration was advising the public there was no consensus on whether they were effective.
Fauci appeared displeased with the question.
“Okay, we’re going to play that game,” he said. “Let me explain to you what happened back then.”
After McKinley told him that he sought a simple yes or no, Fauci shot back, “No, there’s more than a yes or no, by the tone of your question. I don’t regret that, because let me explain to you what happened.”
He continued: “At that time, there was a paucity of equipment that our health-care providers needed. … We did not want to divert masks and PPE away from them to be used by the people. Now that we have enough, we recommend” wearing masks.
In response to another question, Fauci said he had never personally directed Trump to wear a mask. The president is notoriously resistant to wearing one in public despite federal guidelines recommending it to help slow the virus’s spread.
Rep. Kathy Castor (D-Fla.) asked Redfield how often he interacts with Trump about the coronavirus — a question Redfield refused to answer directly.
The issue has come to the fore recently as Trump appears to be spending less time seeking the advice of the administration’s leading health experts. Fauci said in a radio interview last week that he had not spoken directly to Trump in two weeks.
“Well, I have regular interactions as part of the White House task force, as a member,” Redfield said, referring to the group led by Pence. “As it relates to my interactions directly with the president, I’m going to keep those between myself and the president.”
The World Is In Big Trouble, for Those That Believe We Will Go Back to Some Sense of Normal Life Here on Earth, You Will Be Sadly Disappointed, Seven and Half Years of Hell on Earth Which Began January 1, 2020
“Our courts oppose the righteous, and justice is nowhere to be found. Truth stumbles in the streets, and honesty has been outlawed” (Isa. 59:14, NLT)…We Turned Our Backs On GOD, Now We Have Been Left To Our Own Devices, Enjoy…
While Mainstream Media Continues to Push a False Narrative, Big Tech Has to Keep the Truth From Coming out by Shadow Banning Conservatives, Christians, and Like-Minded People, Those Death Attributed to the Coronavirus Is a Result of Those Mentioned, They Truly Are Evil…
Watchmen does not confuse truth with consensus The Watchmen does not confuse God’s word with the word of those in power…
In police-state fashion, Big Tech took the list of accused (including this site), declared all those named guilty and promptly shadow-banned, de-platformed or de-monetized us all without coming clean about how they engineered the crushing of dissent, Now more than ever big Tech has exposed there hand engaging in devious underhanded tactics to make the sinister look saintly, one of Satan’s greatest weapons happens to be deceit…
The accumulating death toll from Covid-19 can be seen minute-by-minute on cable news channels. But there’s another death toll few seem to care much about: the number of poverty-related deaths being set in motion by deliberately plunging millions of Americans into poverty and despair.
American health care, as we call it today, and for all its high-tech miracles, has evolved into one of the most atrocious rackets the world has ever seen. By racket, I mean an enterprise organized explicitly to make money dishonestly.
All the official reassurances won’t be worth a bucket of warm spit. The Globals are behind the CoronaVirus, It Is a Man-Made Bioweapon.
For those of you who care, Google and your favorite social media platforms have misled you, and now we all pay a heavy price for trusting the ungodly, Google and company knew exactly what they were doing, removing our history while preparing you to accept the New World Order playbook, Enjoy
My job is protecting children. It has taken me from big cities to rural outposts, from ghettos to penthouses, and from courtrooms, into demonic battlefields. But whatever the venue, the truth remains constant: Some humans intentionally hurt children. They commit unspeakable acts—for their pleasure, their profit, or both. StevieRay Hansen, CEO The 127 Faith Foundation
The number of Orphans aging out of Child Protective Custody has grown at an alarming rate. The 127 Faith Foundation receives many requests each week to house them at our ranch. Our prayer is that the good people of our country will step up to the challenge and offer financial support for "the least among us." We need your help! StevieRay Hansen, Founder, The 127 Faith Foundation
Enter through the narrow gate. For wide is the gate and broad is the road that leads to destruction, and many enter through it….
Matthew 7:13-14 (NIV) 13“Enter through the narrow gate. For wide is the gate and broad is the road that leads to destruction, and many enter…Read More