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More BS From King Rump

StevieRay Hansen

Trump Says Iran Faces ‘Decapitation’ If It Doesn’t Sign A ‘Good’ Deal

Summary

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 21% · No 80%
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Trump Speaks to Reporters, Addresses Iran (non)Talks

President Trump has told reporters in the Oval Office that the Iran conflict is “working out very well” and that this is Tehran’s “last chance to sign a good document”.

“I ⁠think we’re going to maybe get ​something, but I want to give ​them every last chance before decapitation,” he said, reiterating a threat to launch a major ​attack on Iran.

On Hormuz, he said:

“It has to be [free], I am not going to let them charge. If anybody is going to charge, we will charge, we are the ones … with a total control,” he said. “We have a thing called a blockade … No, no, there is not going to be charging. We are not talking about charging at all. There won’t be charging.”

On engaging Iran in talks even while the Iranians themselves insist they will not participate in any new talks:

When we talk we say ‘we’re talking’, if we’re not talking, when you ask me, ‘no we’re not talking’, I’ll say it. But we are talking right now, we’re talking, and we’re talking at the request of Iran, backed by Saudi Arabia, backed by UAE, and backed by Qatar in particular, but others also, many countries called, many-the leaders of many, I’m friendly with a lot of them–This is a last chance, this is not something-if it doesn’t happen, this is a last chance for them to sign a… good document.

Curiously, Trump is again insisting that when Iran says talks are off, they are lying…

Trump: Looking for Solution ‘Caused’ by Iran

President Trump on Monday issued a new Truth Social, perhaps trying to explain his latest weekend TACO move, accusing Iran’s leadership of being “unbelievably duplicitous,” claiming Tehran privately sought and sheduled talks while publicly insisting it is only dealing with Oman. He asserted that the Strait of Hormuz is already “completely controlled by the United States Navy” through what he called the “United States Wall of Steel,” adding that “nothing gets through to Iran” unless Washington allows it. Trump also insisted discussions toward a resolution are underway despite Iranian denials, while reiterating his bottom line: “IRAN WILL NEVER HAVE A NUCLEAR WEAPON!”

U.S. officials say that no novel negotiations are scheduled with Iran despite Trump’s statements, maintaining that ongoing talks are limited to indirect discussions via mediators involving envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. – CBS

Trump is increasingly letting his frustration and ‘exasperation’ go public. This seems to only confirm that indeed there are no talks taking place at this point. The US president continues to insist that the whole crisis was “caused” by the Iranians “for decades” but that it is the US now looking for a “solution” – but Iran won’t play ball, after apparently ‘begging’ for talks…

We’re only 5 months in… one wonders what the narrative will be with the US still bogged down in Hormuz by November:

Trump Claimed Talks Set For Monday Afternoon, Tehran Balks

President Trump now says new talks with Iran will begin Monday afternoon after he called off a planned “massive attack” – following high level Saudi intervention, and also likely White House advisors and Pentagon leadership failing to agree on a strategic vision.

“The Saudis expressed concern and asked for clarity about the plan of action,” one US official told Axios over the weekend, with another saying that crown prince Mohammed bin Salman urged Trump to de-escalate and refrain from launching the strikes. Trump aknowledged all of this to reporters aboard Air Force One while returning from Bedminster, New Jersey, to Joint Base Andrews. He claimed the canceled attack would have been “the biggest attack since World War II” and could have been “disastrous” for Iran.

“I was asked to by Saudi Arabia, the UAE, by Qatar, and by Iran to hold off strikes,” Trump said. “It would have been a massive attack.” He added: “When the allies asked to call it off, you gotta say, Well, let’s see.”

“I asked the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, ‘What would you rather have us do?'” Trump said. “He said, ‘We would prefer a deal rather than an attack.'” And more: “Allies think there is a deal,” Trump explained. “There is a deal on Hormuz, and it will be a deal on the nuclear.”

Iran says No Negotiations Happening

Iranian officials said there are currently no negotiations with the United States and that Tehran is not planning to send or host any delegations “these days.”

However, Iran has confirmed that it is deep into negotiations over managing the Strait of Hormuz with Oman, and that it desires to get more ships moving through the vital transit waterway. According to Bloomberg on Monday:

Iran suggested negotiations to get more ships moving through the Strait of Hormuz are making progress, after President Donald Trump called off what he said was a major attack on the Islamic Republic.

Oil fell on Monday, with Brent crude down about 4.5% to just over $83 a barrel, after Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said discussions between Tehran and Oman over management of the strait are in the final stages.

While Tehran officials acknowledged that negotiations with Oman are ongoing and that progress has been made toward securing a temporary passage through the Strait of Hormuz, they stressed that reaching an agreement with Oman alone would not be enough to reopen the waterway, warning that the situation will remain unchanged as long as US “aggression” continues.

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei conveyed also that China is concerned about “the escalation of conflict and insecurity in the region” and is working to prevent the situation from worsening. He described that there is no new mediator involved in contacts with Washington, with Pakistan and Qatar continuing to carry out that role.

On the broader conflict, Baghaei argued that the US-Israeli war on Iran is not merely a war against one country, but “a war against the entire region.” He laid out that Iran once again rejected attempts to tie developments in Yemen to the conflict with Iran, calling such claims “a form of evasion of responsibility.”

“We currently do not have negotiations with America,” and Iran had no plans to host foreign delegations or send negotiators abroad in the coming days, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei told reporters.

Iranians ‘Won’t Bend’ – Reuters Analyst Points Out

Meanwhile, the on-again, off-again style of escalation and de-escalation pattern we are witnessing is likely only helping Tehran’s side in terms of leverage, as the conflict grinds on and potentially becomes more politically costly for the White House.

Referring to the Iranians, Reuters writes in new analysis, “They see an opportunity in what they regard as President Donald Trump’s reluctance to become deeply entangled ​in another Middle East conflict ahead of November’s midterm elections.”

“The Iranians…believe that by widening the war and increasing the pressure, he will eventually give in,” a Gulf source is cited in the report as saying. “Trump thinks he can hit the Iranians hard and bring them to the negotiating table, but they won’t bend.” That much should be obvious by now, as Trump Tacos once again.

According to more from Reuters: “Iran is betting it can outlast Washington by turning the Middle East’s trade routes, shipping lanes and energy infrastructure into pressure points that steadily raise the cost of confrontation, according to Gulf officials and analysts.”

            Who can outlast? This is currently month #6 of the war…

via ABC7

“Rather than seeking a ​decisive military victory, Tehran is pursuing a strategy of calibrated escalation aimed at widening the conflict without triggering full-scale war,” the report continues. But that much should have been obvious and anticipated from week one of the war, and clearly the US side underestimated things.

More Latest Developments

via Newsquawk

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