Update: Arctic Blast Remains Uncertain, Meteorologists Have Warned That It Could Compare to 2021’s Deadly Event

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People -Particularly Texans- Are Being Urged to Prepare Now “While the Weather Is Still Good.”

The snowstorm stretched from Maine to the Carolinas, reports usatoday.com; but the cold reached even farther: The temperature in Tallahassee, Florida, dipped below 20 degrees for the first time in more than 10 years. The low-temperature Sunday at the Florida Keys Marathon International Airport reached 46F, breaking a record set more than 65 years ago.

Looking below at the unofficial new temperature records, complied by coolwx.com, we can see ≈100 benchmarks were either toppled/tied over the past 24 hours alone:

…With Intensification Due This Week

Looking ahead, these recent wintry troubles could pale in comparison to what’s in store this week.

After my warning on Friday, latest GFS runs have doubled-down on the potential for a continent spanning Arctic invasion due to engulf ALL of North America starting Tuesday, Feb 1 for the North, and Wednesday, Feb 3 for the Southern and East.

Running the model through (below), note the speed of the front’s decent, as well as its ferocity – Texas, for example, can expect temperature departures some 20C below the winter average ACROSS the entire state as soon as Wednesday evening:

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies Feb 1 – Feb 5 [tropicaltidbits.com].

And looking further out, the extremes aren’t set to abate anytime soon – this is currently what mid-month could have in store:

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies Feb 13 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Accompanying the descending polar cold will be additional, potential record-breaking snowfall totals.

Note, in particular, that band of green forecast to sweep from northern Texas all the way up to New England Wednesday through Friday. If this plays out, they will be measuring snow in the feet across much of Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio and New York:

GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Jan 31 – Feb 16 [tropicaltidbits.com].

A word on Texas:

Last year’s devastating winter storm hit on Feb 14. West Texas was walloped with freezing temperatures and record snow, conditions which led to burst pipes, downed tree limbs, widespread power outages and the deaths of an estimated 702 people.

And while the exact timing and severity of this week’s Arctic blast remains uncertain, meteorologists are warning that the freeze could indeed compare to 2021’s; and in light of the possibility, Texans are being urged prepare now: This is a serious storm, reports sanangelolive.com, and residents should make ready “while the weather is still good.”

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Shifting our attention to the south, average temperatures are expected to dive below freezing in Texas this week. In the Permian Basin, the largest shale-producing region in the U.S., temperatures will plunge to 15 degrees Fahrenheit on Wednesday. The cold snap will spread across the eastern half of Texas, with temperatures diving well below 32 degrees in Dallas, San Antonio, and Houston this week.

“There is going to be a pretty solid push of Arctic air into the southern high plains,” said Rich Otto, a forecaster at the U.S. Weather Prediction Center.

The problem we see is the primary grid operator for Texas, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), could run into trouble as bitterly cold weather may disrupt natgas to power plants.

BloombergNEF data based on pipeline flows show there have already been two instances where pipeline flows dipped due to cold weather this month.

Gas wells are particularly susceptible to freeze-off, though Otto said this week’s cold spell wouldn’t be as severe as the one in February 2021 that nearly collapsed the state’s entire power grid.

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Source: HNewsWire    HNewsWire     electroverse    ZeroHedge

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