Coronavirus (“Chinese virus”) Settles in at 5.7% or 57 Times Higher Than the Flu…
A new study in The Lancet entitled, “Real estimates of mortality following COVID-19 infection” (source), finds that the global death rate from the coronavirus is settling in at around 5.7%, which is 57 times higher than the seasonal flu. The study warns that “mortality rate of COVID-19 could be as high as 20% in Wuhan, the epicenter of the outbreak.”
This is consistent with what we already know about what happens when local hospital beds get overrun and patients no longer have access to critical care. The death rate skyrockets to 10-20%.
As the following chart shows from the study, the calculated case fatality rate appears to be settling at around 5%, with 5.7% the current best calculation:
This means that for every 1 million Americans who get infected, we should expect around 50,000 deaths, maybe more. According to our pandemic projection models, there are right now far fewer than 1 million Americans infected, but the number is doubling about every four days, so it won’t take long to get there unless a national lockdown happens first.
- NYC Mayor says ‘every option on the table’ when asked if considering complete shutdown of city + schools
- Italy reports the largest one-day jump in cases; France also reports the highest daily jump
- Germany reports 1,000+ new cases bringing total to 5,813
- US death toll hits 58, 1st death confirmed in Oregon
- Google CEO says country-wide virus info site to launch Monday
- LA Mayor orders bars to close may also close dine-in restaurants
- NFL season starts likely won’t be postponed, ESPN says
- California confirmed cases climb 14% to 335
- US confirmed case total hits 2,952
- Wal-Mart, Stop & Shop cut hours
- The Netherlands closes schools, restaurants
- Germany closes borders to neighboring states
- Poland bars foreigners
- West Virginia last US state that’s virus-free
- Iran reports largest daily jump in deaths
- Ohio closes bars, restaurants
- Trump speaks with grocery chain CEOs
- Pence says he won’t be tested
- Washington DC mayor orders nightclub to close and imposes new restrictions on bars and restaurants
- Federal limits on trucker hours suspended to help hospitals and supermarkets alleviate shortages of critical items
* * *
Update: President Trump started tonight’s press conference by celebrating the Fed’s QE5. It was perhaps the first time he said something about the central bank (but notably not Powell by name) in more than a year.
“They didn’t do it in five steps they did it in one step…people in the market should be thrilled.”
“It’s a big step and I’m very happy they did it. You won’t hear anything bad from me [about the Fed] for at least a month or two.”
He then moved on to name the grocery and food company CEOs he spoke with earlier.
* * *
COVID-19 mortality rate could be as high as 20% when hospitals are overrun
The same study also shows a mortality rate of nearly 20% in areas where hospitals get overrun (such as Wuhan, where it all began). The study specifically warns, “These findings show that the current figures might underestimate the potential threat of COVID-19 in symptomatic patients.”
The study also warns that “the median time from onset of symptoms to intensive care unit (ICU) admission is around 10 days.”
Since symptoms don’t appear for a few days in newly infected people, what this really means is that by the time 100 people need hospitalization, there is probably something like 1,000 additional people who have already been infected but aren’t yet requiring hospitalization.
Stated another way, if NYC doesn’t lock down the entire city before the hospitals start to surge, it’s already too late, and the subsequent 3 weeks are going to be absolute hell, with dead and dying patients flooding the system.
As we have stated before, the danger in all this is not “fear” itself but is not being fearful enough early enough and thereby becoming complacent until it’s too late.
The analysis finds that California, Oregon, and Washington will see its hospitals collapse as the pandemic spreads
Although USA Today is, of course, left-wing propaganda, their analysis of the hospital situation in liberal cities is not some twisted effort to hurt Trump. It’s actually an indictment of liberal cities and their total lack of preparedness to handle a pandemic.
“No state is prepared,” says this USA Today analysis, which then goes on to show that in particular, California, Oregon, and Washington are the worst prepared.
“US hospitals will run out of beds if coronavirus cases spike,” warns the article, and the analysis is correct. “Places like Oregon, Washington, New Mexico, and California might need eight times as many beds, according to the USA Today analysis.”
Check out the map below, and note that the dark blue states have the highest population per hospital beds:
Notably, this analysis assumes all hospital beds are empty right now, which they aren’t. According to sources we’ve cited before, hospital beds across America are roughly 70-75% occupied on any given day.
That same USA Today article goes on to mention:
The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security estimates that 38 million Americans will need medical care for COVID-19, including as many as 9.6 million who will need to be hospitalized – about a third of whom might need ICU-level care. In a February presentation to the American Hospital Association, Lawler estimated that as many as 96 million Americans could be infected.
Conclusion: The US health care system is on track to absolutely CRATER in the next 8 weeks or so
There’s no getting around it. There are probably already enough infections circulating across America to crater the hospital capacities in cities like Seattle, NYC, and San Francisco. (Rural America will fare much better, thankfully.)
The Mayor of NYC has just announced that literally everyone in the city has likely been exposed. With everyone exposed, it’s not difficult to see that one-third of the city could become infected. That means out of a city of 8 million people, it’s not out of bounds to estimate that 2.5 million could become infected in NYC.
With even just a 5% case fatality rate, that translates into 125,000 dead in NYC alone. But of course, the hospitals would be very quickly overrun, so the actual case fatality rate might double that.
The “Chinese virus” AKA Coronavirus kills the oldest and has no respect for authority Many of the most powerful people in the world are old, and coronavirus does not discriminate based on social status. Deaths are now hitting at high levels (not of death but of status), which can change the political conflicts of our world:
Now a global pestilence has erupted, and in Luke 21 we were specifically warned to watch for “pestilences” in the last days.
The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Have NOT Got The Memo Yet, “Pestilences” Has No Cure
“America has become China on Steroids” Set Down and SHUT-UP, Our Social Media Platforms (Reprobates) Continue to Hide the Truth From the American People, by Shadow Banning Alt News Sources. The Blood of the People Is on Their Hands…
The truth is that all of the warnings of alleged ‘conspiracy theorists’ have turned out to be correct The word translated “pestilence” is often translated as “plague” or “disaster” …
There is a March to death and social media is leading the charge, they are withholding the truth about the coronavirus, You are Marching lockstep into the death spiral…
The “Chinese virus” AKA Coronavirus, yoke “AntiChrist, Lock Down, StevieRay Hansen, Pestilence, revelations, disobedience, biblical, food shortage, biblical prophecy, Triblution, CDC, coronavirus, Hospitals, infections, outbreak, pandemic, Public Health, virus
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