No One Should Pay Serious Attention to These Pollsters, Trump Won Reelection Four Years Ago, Hand-Picked by God, Hated by Ungodly Men, Love by the Working Class…
Though the maths and maps suggests Biden will likely reach 270 Electoral votes, the old saying ‘It ain’t over ’till it’s over’, holds true. The electoral vote scenarios in the key ‘swing states’ would only apply if there is no litigation, fraud or theft. However all three are in play – If you are stuffing the ballot box, you first wait to see what the regular vote is, so that you know how many votes you ‘need’ (mathematical anomalies aside) to push your candidate over the top. Trump, somewhat rashly, gave out the GOP vote calculations at 02.30 on Wednesday, and hey-presto, loads of absentee ballots suddenly arrived at certain polling stations at around 04.00. That seems to have happened in Wisconsin, where over 100,000 Biden votes appeared seemingly out of nowhere on a flash drive delivered by hand from a Democratic district. That put Biden ahead in Wisconsin – but litigation is in process. Likewise, it appears that a huge “absentee ballot” dump appeared in Michigan that heavily favored Biden.
This is just the beginning of a new and more uncertain phase that could go on for weeks. It may be that ultimately Congress will have to certify and make the final determination in late January. Meanwhile, there are some things we know with much higher certainty: The Republican majority in the Senate may hold until the 2024 election. So, even if Biden wins, his agenda will not hold through 2024.
A President may emerge, but it will not be, as it were, a settled one: He or she cannot make claim to the ‘will of the majority’. Whomsoever is certified by Congress cannot truthfully say they represent ‘the nation’. Consensus is fractured, and it is difficult to see any leadership that can bring Americans together as a ‘united people’.
“There is not a single important cultural, religious, political or social force that is pulling Americans together more than it is pushing us apart,” David French notes in a new book Divided We Fall: America’s Secession Threat and How to Restore Our Nation. French — an anti-Trump conservative — argues that America’s divisions are so great, and the political system so poorly designed to handle them, that secession may eventually be the result: “If we keep pushing people and pushing people and pushing people, you cannot assume that they won’t break”, he writes. (A 2018 poll found that nearly a quarter of each party – Democrat and Republican – characterized the opposing party as “evil”).
Joe Biden is not Joe Biden, the man doesn’t stand for anything other than holding on to power while getting richer off that power. He’s done it for 47 years. Term limits are desperately needed in Washington, but the only people who can make that decision are those who profit most from not having term limits. If there’s one area where McConnell and Schumer and Pelosi and Lindsey Graham agree, it’s that.
And meanwhile, Trump, unlike Joe Biden, is just Trump. He doesn’t represent a cabal, or a swamp. Even if he’s surrounded by them. Trump is not the biggest threat to America, that’s just something they’ve been wanting you to think for the past 4 years. Successfully, too, for millions of Americans.
The swamp is the biggest threat, whether their handpuppets come in a Democratic or Republican disguise. But to recognize that, you would have to be able to think for yourself, and if you read or watch the New York Times, Washington Post, CNN, you simply can’t do that. You just think you can.
Lawsuits in Michigan and the other states are being launched, and discovery will take place. Google will not be there.
Voter fraud is kind of like larceny. A little is OK. It is even kind of entertaining.
Dead people have been voting for a hundred years in Democratic cities. It is such a constant that one would think the Republican Party would consider a Dead Voter Outreach program to get their share.
But voter fraud on this scale is just not sustainable. It does not pass the common sense test.
We have bloggers with lots of time on their hands going through voter rolls and showing that person after person who voted in a swing state also fought in the Civil War or maybe the War of 1812. It was funny at first, but the overwhelming number now goes beyond humor and rubs our faces in it.
I think D.J. has to swing one state. Actually, one electoral vote. Not only is this thing not over, but the Biden team must be sweating bullets.
Voter fraud at scale seemed like a really cool idea until D.J. went to the mattresses. Now that he is fighting it out one voter at a time, with the Supreme Court likely to create the starting point at Biden 270, Biden has everything to lose.
The Supreme Court has voted 5-3 to deny a request by Republicans to overturn a decision by Democratic authorities in North Carolina to allow mail-in ballots to be counted nine days after Election Day and without a witness signature.
Justices Neil Gorsuch, Samuel Alito, and Clarence Thomas dissented, though only Gorsuch and Alito signed the dissent. Newly-sworn-in Justice Amy Coney Barrett did not participate in the decision.
As Breitbart News previously reported
HNewsWire Poll Shows Pres. Trump up by 34 Points
Trump is likely NOT at 40 percent approval with the American electorate. He is likely higher. Trump got 46.1 percent of the popular vote, several million votes less than Clinton did, but neither candidate got a majority. Six million voters opted for a libertarian candidate and most of those votes would never go to a liberal Democrat. And when all of the congressional votes were tallied, Republicans got 3 million more votes than the Democrats and won a majority of both the popular vote and of the seats in Congress.
The recent special election in Georgia came out about the same as the Trump/Hillary vote, with Republicans nosing out Democrats. As The Washington Post poll reported, a replay of the Trump/Hillary race would today come out more for Trump than Hillary.
So what is the disconnect between polls that show his job rating at 40 and the electoral results? The major network polls all now report “U.S adults” as the sampling frame, not people who voted in the last election or expect to vote in the next one. The non-voters include 11 million undocumented aliens and a lot of folks who liked neither candidate and stayed home, as well as younger people who have lower rates of participation. These polls should not be confused with the views of the American electorate.
“Trump is God’s Cyrus,” a biblical king who freed the Jews. “God put him there.” the 2020 election as a spiritual battle. “This whole next 10 months coming down to the election night is going to be a battle in the spirit because Satan wants to reset the clock and take back over this country. “I will be an enemy to your enemies, an adversary to your adversaries.”
“I wouldn’t want to be the person who’s against this president right now, because I think a deceiving spirit, I think a deceiving spirit is at work right now, Satan Soldiers,” be warned. “I would not want to be somebody right now who is looking at what God’s doing, and opposing it, Deep state bad actors etc..”
“The one big problem is the church lights have gone OUT , not been getting involved with anything,”. “We’re sitting off by the sidelines wringing our hands in nervous prayers, praying the right person comes into office. Where is the church? Where is the church in the front lines of reformation, defending America, defining America, even owning it?”
- Trump Wins Indiana: CNN
- Trump Wins Kentucky: AP
- Biden Wins Vermont: AP
- Biden Wins Virginia: Fox
- Trump Wins West Virginia: AP
- Trump Wins South Carolina: AP
- Trump Wins Alabama: AP
- Biden Wins Connecticut: AP
- Biden Wins Illinois: AP
- Trump Wins Tennessee: AP
- Biden Wins Delaware: AP
- Biden Wins New Jersey: AP
- Biden Wins Rhode Island: AP
- Maine split
- Biden Wins Massachusetts: AP
- Biden Wins Maryland: NBC
- Trump Wins Oklahoma: AP
- Biden Wins District of Columbia: Networks
- Trump Wins Mississippi: AP
- Trump Wins Arkansas: AP
- Biden Wins New York: NBC
- Biden Wins New Mexico: AP
- Trump Wins Wyoming: AP
- Trump Wins Louisiana: AP
- Trump Wins North Dakota: AP
- Trump Wins South Dakota: AP
- Trump Wins Nebraska: AP
- Biden Wins Colorado: AP
- Trump Wins Kansas: AP
- Biden Wins New Hampshire: Networks
- Trump Wins Missouri: AP
- Trump Wins Utah: Networks
- Biden Wins California: NBC
- Trump Wins Idaho: AP
- Biden Wins Oregon: AP
- Biden Wins Washington: AP
- Biden Wins New Mexico: AP
- Trump Wins Ohio: AP
* * *
PredictIt currently has a 66% probability for a Biden victory, which is up from a week ago at 62.9% and also higher than four weeks ago, although as usual one has to be aware of just how little capital needs to be deployed to manipulate the illiquid PredictIt market (something every prominent Democratic financier with deep pockets would be well aware of in seeking to manipulate public sentiment in the cheapest possible way). A Trump victory has a roughly 39% probability according to this data, which is up slightly from 37.1% a week ago. The national polls – compiled by Real Clear Politics – suggest a similar tilt in the race with Biden having a 51.3%-43.5% lead against Trump.
Digging into the state polling in competitive states, Biden currently leads in all the battleground, or “toss up” states except for Ohio, Arizona and Texas. This would give him a comfortable Electoral College (EC) victory of 346-192…
… even though RCP’s average polls of Top Battleground states (FL, PA, MI, WI, NC, AZ), is now just +3.1 in Biden’s favor and down from 5% to weeks ago, with Arizona just flipping to Trump in the past 24 hours.
That said, polls are imperfect as 2016 demonstrated – indeed, if we apply the polling miss from 2016 as Bank of America did last week, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Iowa and and Maine would flip. For this exercise we have used the latest RCP polling average data as of Oct 31:
- Arizona: Trump +0.6
- Florida: Biden +1.2
- Michigan: Biden +6.5
- North Carolina: Biden +1.2
- Pennsylvania: Biden +3.7
- Wisconsin: Biden +6.4
- Georgia: Biden +0.8
- Iowa: Biden +1.2
- Maine 2: Biden +2.7
- Minnesota: Biden +4.7
- Nebraska-2: Biden +7.8
- Nevada: Biden +4.0
- Ohio: Tie
- Texas: Trump +2.3
These numbers are then adjusted by applying the same error rates as were observed during the 2016 polling, and the results are shown in the table below:
Remarkably, if the polls are as wrong as they were in 2016, Trump would win with 279 of the 538 electoral votes, while Biden would get 259.
Still, the margin of victory would be within 0.5 percentage points in Wisconsin (for Biden) and Georgia (for Trump), which would trigger an automatic recount and delay results. In addition, the margin in Pennsylvania and Florida would be less than 1.0%, likely resulting in a bitter post-election night fight and contested outcomes.
In short, no matter what happens on Nov 3, expect recounts and extensive delays before we have a clear winner.
Putting this together, Bloomberg said it best: “All of that means a Trump win on Tuesday would represent a historically staggering failure by public opinion polls, eclipsing even the 2016 miss. While the president’s chances of being re-elected aren’t zero, pollsters say it’s a long shot.”
“If Donald Trump wins, in 2020, anything close to a decisive Electoral College win knowable on election night, that would have repercussions for the research profession that would ripple forever — and deservedly so,” said Jay Leve, chief executive officer of SurveyUSA, a polling firm.
As Bloomberg notes, Level and other pollsters say the election outcomes range from a blowout Biden win to a closely fought contest that could hinge on recounts and court rulings that either candidate could win. They don’t consider a clear, quick and decisive Trump victory among the possibilities.
“It would be astonishing,” Leve said. Source: ZeroHedge
The World Is In Big Trouble, for Those That Believe We Will Go Back to Some Sense of Normal Life Here on Earth, You Will Be Sadly Disappointed, Seven Years of Hell on Earth Which Began January 1, 2020
“Our courts oppose the righteous, and justice is nowhere to be found. Truth stumbles in the streets, and honesty has been outlawed” (Isa. 59:14, NLT)…We Turned Our Backs On GOD, Now We Have Been Left To Our Own Devices, Enjoy…
While Mainstream Media Continues to Push a False Narrative, Big Tech Has Keep the Truth From Coming out by Shadow Banning Conservatives, Christians, and Like-Minded People, Those Death Attributed to the Coronavirus Is a Result of Those Mentioned, They Truly Are Evil…
Watchmen does not confuse truth with consensus The Watchmen does not confuse God’s word with the word of those in power…
In police-state fashion, Big Tech took the list of accused (including this site), declared all those named guilty and promptly shadow-banned, de-platformed or de-monetized us all without coming clean about how they engineered the crushing of dissent, Now more than ever big Tech has exposed there hand engaging in devious underhanded tactics to make the sinister look saintly, one of Satan’s greatest weapons happens to be deceit…
The accumulating death toll from Covid-19 can be seen minute-by-minute on cable news channels. But there’s another death toll few seem to care much about: the number of poverty-related deaths being set in motion by deliberately plunging millions of Americans into poverty and despair.
American health care, as we call it today, and for all its high-tech miracles, has evolved into one of the most atrocious rackets the world has ever seen. By racket, I mean an enterprise organized explicitly to make money dishonestly.
All the official reassurances won’t be worth a bucket of warm spit. The Globals are behind the CoronaVirus, It Is a Man-Made Bioweapon.
Hell on Earth, It’s Going to Get Real and Nowhere to Hide…
The same governments that barred you from your sister’s funeral, locked you out of Sunday service… have blessed the mightiest mass gatherings we have ever encountered, (BLM, Antifa) Full Throttle Tribulations in Play
On or about December 25, 2019 MR. Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu had agreed that the proposed peace agreement would be acceptable, By January 1, 2020 the world was made aware of the peace plan. Netanyahu announced to the world February 1, 2020 that Pres. Trump’s peace plan would be accepted. Tribulations began January 1, 2020 as per the oral agreement between Trump and Netanyahu, of course there are those that will disagree, “Tribulation” will be the most ungodly time in human history so I would expect some pushback from soft Christians. SRH
God has sent them ( The Un-godly ) a powerful delusion so that they will believe the lie and so that all will be condemned who have not believed the truth but have delighted in wickedness” (2 Thessalonians 2:10-12). Simply put, God sends a strong delusion to those who chose not to believe the gospel of Christ. Those who take delight in mocking and rejecting Him, He will condemn.
The number of Orphans aging out of Child Protective Custody has grown at an alarming rate. The 127 Faith Foundation receives many requests each week to house them at our ranch. Our prayer is that the good people of our country will step up to the challenge and offer financial support for "the least among us." We need your help! StevieRay Hansen, Founder, The 127 Faith Foundation
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America Is Next, Implement Internet Kill-Switch… …but, constituents to remain fair game for abuse from party apparatchiks. A colleague forwarded me the text of an article…Read More