Update 9/24/2020 China Pork Reserves At Risk Of ‘Running Out In Months’ As Prices Soar
China could be on the brink of exhausting its massive frozen pork reserves as the country’s pig herd is wiped out by African swine fever.
Declining reserves are particularly bad news for the Communist Party of China, which is worried that it might not be able to prevent another destabilizing surge in prices.
For more color on China’s strategic pork reserves, Enodo Economics, a London-based consultancy firm, quoted by the Financial Times, said reserves fell by 452,000 tons from Sept. 2019 to Aug. 2020. This means the country’s pork reserves are at dangerously low levels.
It’s unclear how much of China’s latest pork imports have been diverted to state stockpiles – but Diana Choyleva, Enodo’s chief economist, said China has about 100,000 tons of frozen pork left in reserves, and “at this rate, within two to three months they’ll be out.”
FT notes the reserve numbers provided by Enodo are in-line with a recent livestock report via US agricultural attaché in Beijing that said, “pork reserves appear to have been mostly depleted by the third quarter of 2020.”
China’s pork reserves have been CPC’s primary weapon against soaring wholesale pork prices this year – preventing prices from breaching Rmb 50.
As prices continue to climb amid dwindling reserves, the CPC will need to increase imports of frozen pork from the US or Latin America, limiting supplies of fresh pork even further (Chinese consumers typically prefer fresh to frozen, and have been known to be suspicious of China’s frozen reserves). As tensions continue to complicate the trading relationship between China and the US, the pork shortage could become one of the most pressing domestic issues facing the world’s second-largest economy.
Update 8/20/2020 Over 100,000 Chinese Evacuated As Floods Continue Pressuring Three Gorges Dam
Since early summer, devastating floods have wreaked havoc in southern China due to torrential rains caused by the rainy season, with most of the flooding observed around the Yangtze basin and its tributaries.
Local officials are calling the latest flooding a “once in a century” event, with a typhoon making landfall Wednesday.
China’s largest river, the Yangtze, continues to rise to dangerous levels after another round of rainfall. More than 100,000 people on Tuesday, in the Sichuan province, were evacuated from their homes, reported Reuters.
China Central Television published video footage of a road collapse in southwest China, swallowing 21 vehicles on Wednesday.
The southwest and central regions of the Yangtze river basin have been hit with unusually high levels of rainfall in the last couple of months due to flood season.
The Ministry of Water Resources warned Monday that 38 tributaries along the upper part of the Yangtze were at critical levels.
Some 63 million people have been affected by the floods, with economic damage totaling $26 billion.
A red alert was issued late Tuesday by the water commission, who said some monitoring stations along the river were expected to rise above flood protection levels. The ministry also warned about the Three Gorges Dam, indicating water inflow levels continued to increase, with water inflows registering 74,000 cubic meters per second on Wednesday, the highest ever.
The dam underwent a series of water discharges on Tuesday to “reduce flood control pressures,” the water ministry said.
- Is China’s Massive Three Gorges Dam On The Edge Of Failure?
- “Rumors Of Structural Faults” – China’s Three Gorges Dam Could Be Nearing collapse
The floods in the Yangtze River also struck the Leshan Giant Buddha statue in southwestern Sichuan province. Floodwaters crested over the toes of the Buddha, the first time since 1949.
Last week, China’s slower-than-expected rise in industrial production and a decline in retail sales suggested the Chinese Communist Party can now blame devastating summer floods on why the economic recovery is faltering.
Update 8/11/2020 China Faces Food Shortage As Droughts, Flooding, And Pests Ruin Harvest
Chinese Vice Premier Hu Chunhua recently asked the governors of each province in China to make sure the sown areas of agricultural crops would not shrink and crop yield won’t be reduced this year. At a food security meeting held in Beijing on July 27, he warned that governors would be punished if they failed to uphold the promise, including with dismissals.
And when Chinese leader Xi Jinping visited northeastern Jilin Province on July 22, he told the local government to treat grain production as a priority task. The top officials’ emphasis on food supplies raised questions about whether China is facing a severe food shortage this year.
In early July, the government organ China National Grain and Oils Information Center released its estimates that the corn supply gap in the 2020-2021 fiscal year would be 25 million metric tons—more than double the previous estimated 12 million metric tons.
On Aug. 5, the Center estimated that China would import six million metric tons of wheat in the 12 months from June 2020 to May 2021, which would be the highest amount in the past seven years. The Center said the wheat would likely come from France, Russia, Lithuania, and Kazakhstan.
In late January, Chinese authorities mandated that people stay at home to prevent the spread of COVID-19, farmers among them. Around March, restrictions eased and most farmers were allowed to go out again. But not long after, extreme weather across large swathes of China led to the destruction of crops. Since early June, heavy rain has befallen the country’s south, center, and east. Meanwhile, parts of the northwest and northeast are suffering from droughts. Pests such as locusts and fall armyworms have also invaded crops. Farmers told The Epoch Times that they suspected that they would lose their harvest this year.
Chinese farmers plant rice in 13 provinces, including Hunan, Hubei, Jiangxi, Anhui, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Sichuan, Chongqing, Guizhou, Guangdong, Guangxi, Yunnan, and Fujian. All these provinces were impacted by flooding in June and July. Farmers plant rice at three different times of the year. The early season is planted in late March, and harvested in late June. The middle season is planted in early May and harvested in late September. The late season is planted in late June and harvested in mid-October. The flooding in June and July impacted all three seasons of rice planting.
Mr. Li is from Poyang county, Jiangxi Province. He told the Chinese-language Epoch Times on July 18: “The early rice in our province was ruined before harvest. The mid-season rice was destroyed by the floods. Now it’s too late to plant the late rice.” While sobbing on the phone, Mr. Chen from Hunan Province said farmers in his area had no harvest this year. He and his fellow villagers were worried that they might not have enough food to eat, as flooding has hit the region continually.
Wheat is mainly planted in central and northern China. Farmers only harvest once a year in late May to early June. Wheat production in Henan Province contributes to roughly a quarter of China’s total agricultural production. However, droughts killed the crops in Henan, Inner Mongolia, Gansu, Xinjiang, Jilin, and other northern provinces.
Privately-run Chinese grains and oil wholesale platform CCTIN visited wheat production areas of Henan, Anhui, and Jiangsu provinces and reported that the quality of wheat in 2020 was worse than that in 2019, and production was 15 to 30 percent less than previous years.
The situation in Inner Mongolia, Gansu, and Xinjiang is worse. State-run media Xinhua reported on June 16 that 50.7 percent of Inner Mongolia’s land suffered heavy droughts this year. The region mainly grows wheat, as well as soybeans and corn. Crops and wild grass were unable to grow, impacting local animal husbandry.
State-run China News reported on June 3 that the dry bout led to almost no harvesting in Gansu Province this year. “I’m 50 years old. I had never seen a drought like this year,” a farmer in Yuzhong city, Gansu said in the report. One woman in Xinjiang shared a video on social media on July 17, showing large wheat fields that have dried up.
“You think this yellow color is harvested [wheat]? They all died. Our farmers have no harvest at all this year,” she said.
Chinese media reports also noted that due to a two-month-long drought, two-thirds of the corn crops in northeastern Liaoning Province have dried up.
Meanwhile, nearby Jilin and Heilongjiang provinces reported native locust plagues in June. In late June, a foreign locust invasion entered China’s Yunnan Province in the southwest, from Laos, and continued moving to other regions. On July 27, Chinese Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs organized a drill to wipe out locusts in Yunnan and estimated that more locusts would keep on entering China from Laos before late August.
Recent trends in the Chinese market also indicated that there was a food shortage. China’s leading producer and supplier of processed agricultural products, state-run China Agri-Industries Holdings, announced on Aug. 3 that the central government released 3.6 million metric tons of state-reserved rice to the market recently, which were harvested from 2014 to 2019.
China has a national grain reserves system in order to maintain food security, but how much the country actually possesses in reserve has been called into question. Meanwhile, all domestic grain prices have gone up in the first week of August, compared to the same period last year, according to data issued by Orient Securities and Huatai Securities.
Soybean prices, in particular, jumped up 37.83 percent, from 3,454 yuan ($484.85) per metric ton in Aug. 2019 to 4,761 yuan ($682.1) per metric ton in Aug. 2020. The Chinese regime also recently made record purchases of U.S. agricultural goods. On July 29, China purchased its biggest-ever order of U.S. corn, 1.937 million metric tons, which will be delivered during the 2020-21 marketing year that begins on Sept. 1, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA).
Orders in July also broke previous records. On July 14, USDA reported that China bought 1.762 million metric tons of corn and 129,000 metric tons of soybeans. On July 10, China ordered 1.365 million metric tons of U.S. corn, 130,000 metric tons of U.S. hard red winter wheat, and 190,000 metric tons of U.S. hard red spring wheat.
Qin, an agriculture researcher in China who only gave his last name because he was not authorized to speak to foreign media, explained that grains have three primary uses in China, which are: food for human consumption, feed for livestock, and raw materials to make wine and other industrial products.
He said the current shortage “won’t be as serious as people not having food to eat… The key is no feed for livestock and poultry. Then, people don’t have enough meat to eat,” Qin said.
One final observation confirming that food in China is indeed becoming scarce: food inflation has been in the double digits for the past 12 months.
UP-Date 7/30/2020 Most Of The Middle-East Is Under Siege by the Death Angel , “30 Million Iranians Have Been Infected”…
China’s Three Gorges Dam Nearing collapse
Concerns are rising that China’s Three Gorges Dam, the world’s largest dam, could be on the verge of collapse triggering a devastating 250-foot tidal wave that would wipe out cities, reported The Sun.
A major concern, after several weeks of raging floodwaters rushing through the dam at 60,000 cubic meters per second, is that part of the structure has shifted under enormous pressure, potentially jeopardizing the structural integrity of the dam.
Rumors of structural faults in the walls of the 14-year-old dam have grown as heavy rains deluged the swollen Yangtze River.
China’s secretive leaders – already facing a backlash over the Covid-19 pandemic which started in Wuhan in Hubei Province – have played down the threat.
But authorities are said to have quietly ordered the evacuation of 38 million Chinese in the threatened zone – equating to more than half the population of the UK.
Heavy rainfall is forecast to continue to pound the Yangtze River basin in the coming days after localized floods claimed at least 141 lives. – The Sun
Dam operators, quoted by local media, said there are two weeks before reservoirs around the dam reach maximum level. Floodgates were used earlier this week to discharge excess water but still not enough to lower water levels.
China’s state-run Global Times quoted a local official that said the structure is “safe and in good condition.”
A CGI video published on Twitter showed a potential scenario of the dam collapse, would flood cities along the Yangtze River.
Three Gorges Dam Overview
If a structural failure of the dam results in flooding conditions downstream, the Communist Party of China has a new scapegoat to blame the faltering economy, and or has the ability to wash away all the virus evidence in Wuhan, including the biosafety lab.
“The Situation Is Grim” – Hong Kong Dangerously Unprepared For Second Wave Of COVID-19
Mirroring a similarly virulent second wave that hammered Singapore in May and June, Hong Kong is suffering from a surprisingly intense second wave of the virus, with the city reporting 58 new local cases on Tuesday, with 24 of those coming from unknown origins.
Worries about the situation in Hong Kong prompted Bloomberg to report that the city state is surprisingly unprepared for the second wave, as its contact-tracers are struggling to track local cases to hot spots that are feeding the outbreak.
Unlike in Japan and the US, where mostly young people are becoming infected now, Hong Kong’s outbreak is affecting more older people than it did during the first round.
The median age this time is 55 years old, up from 40 in previous waves, and clusters are forming in nursing homes.
As the city scrambles to expand testing access, quarantine facilities and isolation beds, it has become clear that the long stretch of seeming to have dodged the coronavirus bullet (daily local infections never broke above 28 before July) has left its defenses dangerously low.
While the city reacted quickly to stop the spread of the virus by immediately implemented mask-wearing and social distancing, by the spring, complacency had set in and bars filled up as restrictions were relaxed. Hong Kong’s recent uptick in new cases shows that contact tracers have no idea where many of these cases are coming from.
The city’s ability to trace infections to certain hot spots during the first wave of the outbreak was widely credited for its success.
It’s a phenomenon that’s not unique to Hong Kong.
“Perversely, the more successful you are, you get the impression oh we don’t have the virus, we don’t have to worry about thinking of the basic precautions,” said professor Peter Collignon from the Australian National University Medical School in Canberra.
“The more successful you are, the more you don’t keep on doing the things you need to do and so it comes back.”
Even before the virus crossed into Hong Kong, the international city was in dire straits. Months of disruptive, often violent protests had warded off tourists and business travelers, and the city’s economy was reeling from its worst slump since SARS when COVID-19 arrived in December 2019. Since the start of the outbreak, the political situation has grown even more precarious, as the US has retaliated against Beijing for imposing a new national security law on Hong Kong by ending the region’s special treatment. The White House even considered targeting the HKD peg to the dollar.
Joblessness in HK is now at a 15-year high.
In total, Hong Kong has confirmed only 2,019 cases, far fewer than the numbers in neighbors like South Korea and Singapore. But HK’s medical system is already coming under strain as the city scrambles to try and stop the virus from infiltrating old folks homes and other managed care facilities. So far, 14 deaths have been reported.
“Since there are more elderly patients during this wave of outbreak, isolation beds might be used up much sooner than in March,” said Ian Cheung Tsz-fung, chief manager at the Hospital Authority, in a radio interview on Tuesday. “This week is crucial.”
Because of this, the city’s leaders have warned that HK may need to impose another lockdown, which would crush its already battered economy.
“The government did relatively well in handling the previous two waves of outbreak. But the relaxation of measures was too lenient and gave citizens a false sense of security, causing a huge outbreak this time,” said CUHK’s Hui. “This situation is grim.”
Hong Kong did an admirable job confronting the virus during the early months of the outbreak. But when trying to suppress COVID-19, complacency is a serious danger.
Looks Like He Is Right, The Harvard Professor Says 40-70% Of People Worldwide Will Be Infected With Covid-19
Chinese Officials Issue Highest Flood Alert As Three Gorges Dam Pushed To Limits
The Huaihe River Commission of the Ministry of Water Resources issued its highest flood alert Monday after the water level on the major river, located between the Yellow and the Yangtze Rivers, reached dangerous levels.
The water level at the Wangjiaba hydrological station on the Huaihe River reached 29.7 meters on Monday, well above the danger level of 27.5 meters.
Global Times posted a video Monday of Wangjiaba hydrological station.
The 1,000-kilometer river is a major waterway in China, is facing grim flooding risks over the next three days for parts of Shanxi, Henan, Shandong, Anhui, and Jiangsu provinces.
Massive flooding upstream on the Yangtze River has also caused concern that the Three Gorges Dam, the largest hydroelectric power station in the world, is being pushed to the limit under the strain of massive flows of water.
Many regions along the Yangtze River have flooded in the past week due to torrential rains this monsoon season. At the moment, at least 400 Yangtze tributary rivers have overflowed, with at least a hundred dead and 15 million people evacuated from their homes in July alone.
Rainfall totals in China are about 12% higher than the last monsoon season. The economic damage is already in the billions of dollars, according to government estimates the previous week.
We noted last week rising floodwaters on the Yangtze River had caused fears the Three Gorges Dam has failed to prevent flooding downstream.
Officials dismissed these accusations on Monday by saying:
“If flooding occurred via heavy rainfall in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, the cities surrounding these reaches would have to mainly rely on their own flood drainage facilities,” state-owned Three Gorges Corporation said.
“Under such circumstances, the Three Gorges Dam can still make a contribution by retaining and impounding water to ease the pressure on those cities.”
Some media outlets are claiming the massive damn could collapse.
Things China Doesn’t Want You To Know@TruthAbtChinaWhen the Three Gorges Dam was completed in 2006, China proudly claimed it could hold back the worst flood in 10,000 years. Today the dam is at risk of collapse with 400 million lives in danger. The CCP recently opened all floodgates – what happens next is out of their control.
Chinese state media has continued to indicate Western media is ‘hyping’ the dam’s collapse.
Flooding this week is expected to continue on the Huaihe River with no signs of abating.
A major flooding event could be what the Communist Party of China officials need to scapegoat the coming stall in the world’s second-largest economy.
- In late January, Chinese media provided information about migrant outflow from Wuhan before quarantine. Using a lower number than theirs, then conservative figures for migrants’ infection rate and time in circulation before national lockdown, generates an estimate of 2.9 million cases.
- This is partly due to China’s huge population. That population can also hide COVID-19 among tens of millions of respiratory illnesses. Along with harshly enforced censorship, the population can hide tens of thousands of deaths.
- Is there an “angel of death” in the Bible? Is there a being whose primary or sole purpose is to destroy human life?
- Revelation 9 speaks of angels or “messengers” who will kill many in the last days. Again, none of these angels are called an “angel of death.” The Bible supports the idea that God can use angels to carry out His judgments, including death.
Since the start of the coronavirus outbreak in Iran, which had the second-highest infection rate after China during the early phase of the global pandemic, it was widely believed that authorities there were severely downplaying the correct number of cases. But it was also understood that the country’scountry’s already hurting and strained health system would lack testing and proper care, given there was a world shortage of test kits.
On Saturday, President Hassan Rouhani confirmed much of this prior skepticism toward Iran’sIran’s official case count. He dropped a bombshell statement which if true means Iran far surpasses America’sAmerica’s case count (at over 3.6 million), currently the most infected country in the world.
Rouhani said a whopping 25 million Iranians have likely been infected with the coronavirus. In the first such statement of its kind affirming that Iran’sIran’s actual numbers are far higher than the current official figure of 271,606.
His office did admit, however, that his 25 million figure is an “estimated scenario.” If this estimate is anywhere near accurate, it would mean Iran infections alone would surpass the global total of over 14 million.
Given that the Islamic Republic’sRepublic’s total population is at 80 million people, about 1 in 3 citizens in Iran have contracted the virus.
In his statement during a televised speech, he further said 35 million are at risk of contracting the virus. He cited this as the rationale for rolling out new shutdown and restriction measures in Tehran and across estimates said in Reuters:
“Our estimate is that until now 30 + million Iranians have been infected with this virus and about 14,000 have lost their dear lives,” Mr. Rouhani said in the speech. “There is the possibility that between 30 and 35 million other people will be at risk.”
He said more than 200,000 people had been hospitalized and that the ministry expected it to double in the coming months.
His new shutdown orders include a new one-week lockdown on the Iranian capital and many other cities, including a ban on all public events and spaces where crowds gather, including schools, restaurants, pools, and even religious functions.
This also includes lockdowns of 22 cities and towns, especially in the hard-hit southwest of the country.
The Health Ministry currently reports a total of 13,979 deaths, but if actual COVID-19 total infections are anywhere near 25 million, its likely the true death count is far higher as well.
That would equal to around 500,000 Covid-19 deaths across #Iran.
Events of the Tribulation
In the Great Tribulation 2 ½ million die every day for 42 months. In Auschwitz, less than a thousand died each day. That means 2500x as many people die every day. Or to put it in Auschwitz terms—the number of people that died every day at Auschwitz will die every 30 seconds in the Great Tribulation! Or in other terms living on earth will be like living in an Auschwitz death camp—and in death toll there will be the equivalent of an Auschwitz Holocaust twice a day for 42 months!
A brief look through the pages of Revelation chapters six, eight, nine, and sixteen–describe the living hell you can avoid if you are saved this morning. Here are only a few of the dreadful disasters that take place during the Tribulation:
- One out of every two people will die during the Tribulation (see Rev. 6:8 and onward), some through the ravages of war, others by starvation, and amazingly many others by the ‘beasts of the earth’. So, whether by death that comes instantly and thus less dreaded or a slow and painful death that is lingering and agonizing-50 percent of all people will die. The world’s population was 6,415,574,176 yesterday, so that means at least 3,207,500,000 will die. Does that amount to just about eleven times the current population of the United States-can you imagine that? And remember that the population of the world is doubling every 39.5 years. So every day the number of people who will die becomes larger and larger.
- One-third of all vegetation will be burned up. All grass, every tree, everything green will be destroyed (see Rev. 8:7).
- The sun and the moon will be darkened as nature goes into revolt (see Rev. 8:12).
- The gates of hell will open and hordes of locusts, the size of horses, will come upon the earth. Those locusts will be allowed to sting men like scorpions and the pain will last for five months. The Bible says men will beg God to let them die but they will not die (see Rev. 9:3-6).
- There will be worldwide famine, unlike anything the world has ever seen (see Rev. 18:8).
- There will be a world war so bloody that the blood of those killed in battle will flow for two hundred miles up to the bridle of a horse in the valley of Jezreel. This will be the Battle of Armageddon (see Rev. 14:20).
- All told, during the Great Tribulation, as many as half of all the people on the earth will be killed.
The World Is In Big Trouble, for Those That Believe We Will Go Back to Some Sense of Normal Life Here on Earth, You Will Be Sadly Disappointed, Seven and Half Years of Hell on Earth Which Began January 1, 2020
“Our courts oppose the righteous, and justice is nowhere to be found. Truth stumbles in the streets, and honesty has been outlawed” (Isa. 59:14, NLT)…We Turned Our Backs On GOD, Now We Have Been Left To Our Own Devices, Enjoy…
While Mainstream Media Continues to Push a False Narrative, Big Tech Has Keep the Truth From Coming out by Shadow Banning Conservatives, Christians, and Like-Minded People, Those Death Attributed to the Coronavirus Is a Result of Those Mentioned, They Truly Are Evil…
Watchmen does not confuse truth with consensus The Watchmen does not confuse God’s word with the word of those in power…
In police-state fashion, Big Tech took the list of accused (including this site), declared all those named guilty and promptly shadow-banned, de-platformed or de-monetized us all without coming clean about how they engineered the crushing of dissent, Now more than ever big Tech has exposed there hand engaging in devious underhanded tactics to make the sinister look saintly, one of Satan’s greatest weapons happens to be deceit…
The accumulating death toll from Covid-19 can be seen minute-by-minute on cable news channels. But there’s another death toll few seem to care much about: the number of poverty-related deaths being set in motion by deliberately plunging millions of Americans into poverty and despair.
American health care, as we call it today, and for all its high-tech miracles, has evolved into one of the most atrocious rackets the world has ever seen. By racket, I mean an enterprise organized explicitly to make money dishonestly.
All the official reassurances won’t be worth a bucket of warm spit. The Globals are behind the CoronaVirus, It Is a Man-Made Bioweapon.
For those of you who care, Google and your favorite social media platforms have misled you, and now we all pay a heavy price for trusting the ungodly, Google and company knew exactly what they were doing, removing our history while preparing you to accept the New World Order playbook, Enjoy
The number of Orphans aging out of Child Protective Custody has grown at an alarming rate. The 127 Faith Foundation receives many requests each week to house them at our ranch. Our prayer is that the good people of our country will step up to the challenge and offer financial support for "the least among us." We need your help! StevieRay Hansen, Founder, The 127 Faith Foundation
Hunted by the Mob, Found by Christ
The gripping memoirs of the founder of HNewsWire. A binge-worthy afternoon read.
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